There are 33 senate seats up in 2012. Currently Democrats have a narrow majority of 53 (that’s including two independents). However, out of those 33 seats that will be contested in 2012 are 23 Democratic seats and only 10 Republican seats. This map shows the states that will have Senate elections in 2012, with red being seats currently held by Republicans, and blue being seats currently held by Democrats:
Now here’s a map of overall political leanings by state. Red means solid Republican, orange means leans Republican, light blue means leans Democrat, and dark blue means solid Democrat.
See the problem? In the first map, you notice a bunch of states that are blue, and not so many that are red. If you compare the first map to the second map, you’ll notice that quite a number of those blue states on the first map are red or orange on the second. How can this be? They were the aftermath of the sweeping results of the 2006 election, which brought Democrats to power in many traditionally Republican areas. With the public angry over the economic situation in the country, and the Democratic majority being so slim in the Senate, losing the Senate is a very likely possibility.
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